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Conseco Plans Delayed 10-K Filing; Announces Preliminary Results
PRNewswire
CARMEL, Ind.
(NYSE:CNO)

CARMEL, Ind., March 2 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Conseco, Inc. announced today that it plans to delay the filing of its Annual Report on Form 10-K until on or before March 17, 2009. Conseco said it needs additional time to finalize the analysis and disclosure related to its investment portfolio in light of unprecedented market conditions. The Company has been informed by its independent registered public accounting firm that without additional information and analysis to satisfy the auditors' concerns regarding the Company's liquidity and debt covenant margins (primarily those that could be impacted by a significant amount of additional realized losses in the Company's investment portfolio), their audit opinion will include an explanatory paragraph regarding the Company's ability to continue as a going concern.

If, after considering the additional information to be provided by the Company, it is concluded that there is substantial doubt as to the Company's ability to continue as a going concern, the auditors' report on the consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2008 will include an explanatory paragraph to that effect. The inclusion of such a paragraph, unless waived by the lenders, would be a default under Conseco's senior credit facility.

Conseco also indicated that it expects its final, audited financial statements to show compliance, as of December 31, 2008, with all other covenants in its credit agreement including those relating to insurance subsidiary capital, the combined risk-based capital ratio of its insurance subsidiaries, the Company's debt to capital ratio and the Company's interest coverage ratio.

All financial results described in this press release should be considered preliminary and are subject to change to reflect any necessary adjustments that are identified before the Company completes its financial statements and files its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008.

Preliminary Fourth Quarter and Year-End Results

Conseco CEO Jim Prieur said, "Our core insurance businesses continued to produce significant operating earnings and substantial cash flow in the fourth quarter, and new business growth, up 16% over the prior year's fourth quarter, continues to be impressive."

Preliminary Fourth Quarter 2008 results:

  • Total New Annualized Premium ("NAP") (1): $101.6 million, up 16% from 4Q07 ($100.7 million, excluding Private-Fee-For-Service ("PFFS"), up 12 percent from 4Q07)
  • Income before net realized investment losses, discontinued operations resulting from the transfer of Senior Health Insurance Company of Pennsylvania ("Senior Health," formerly known as Conseco Senior Health Insurance Company prior to its name change in October 2008) (the "Transfer") to an independent trust, corporate interest and taxes ("EBIT") (2): $78.1 million, compared to $64.8 million in 4Q07
  • Net operating income before valuation allowance for deferred tax assets (3): $48.7 million, compared to $27.2 million in 4Q07
  • Net operating income before valuation allowance for deferred tax assets per diluted share: 26 cents, compared to 15 cents in 4Q07
  • Net loss applicable to common stock: $406.8 million, compared to $71.5 million in 4Q07 (including $455.5 million of net realized investment losses, valuation allowance for deferred tax assets and losses related to discontinued operations in 4Q08 vs. $98.7 million of such losses in 4Q07)
  • Net loss per diluted share: $2.20 compared to 38 cents in 4Q07 (including $2.46 of net realized investment losses, valuation allowance for deferred tax assets and losses related to discontinued operations in 4Q08 vs. 53 cents of such losses in 4Q07)

Preliminary Full Year 2008 results:

  • NAP (1): $432.6 million, up 4% from 2007 ($369.8 million, excluding PFFS, up 6 percent from 2007)
  • EBIT (2): $291.3 million, compared to $184.6 million in 2007 (including $64.4 million related to a litigation settlement and $76.5 million related to an annuity coinsurance transaction in 2007)
  • Net operating income before valuation allowance for deferred tax assets (3): $156.4 million, compared to $73.5 million in 2007
  • Net operating income before valuation allowance for deferred tax assets per diluted share: 85 cents compared to 34 cents in 2007
  • Net loss applicable to common stock: $1,081.7 million, compared to $194.0 million in 2007 (including $1,238.1 million of net realized investment losses, valuation allowance for deferred tax assets and losses related to discontinued operations 2008 vs. $253.4 million of such losses in 2007)
  • Net loss per diluted share: $5.86, compared to $1.12 in 2007 (including $6.71 of net realized investment losses, valuation allowance for deferred tax assets and losses related to discontinued operations in 2008 vs. $1.46 of such losses in 2007)

Preliminary Financial Strength at December 31, 2008:

  • Book value per common share, excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (4), was $18.59, compared to $24.42 at December 31, 2007
  • Book value per diluted share, excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (4), was $18.59, compared to $24.41 at December 31, 2007
  • Debt-to-total capital ratio, excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (4), was 27.9%, compared to 20.9% at December 31, 2007



    Preliminary Operating Results
      Results by segment for the quarter were as follows ($ in millions,
       except per share data):

                                                        Three Months Ended
                                                            December 31,
                                                        2008           2007
    EBIT (2):
      Bankers Life                                     $40.0          $58.3
      Colonial Penn                                      6.7            (.2)
      Conseco Insurance Group.                          31.5            9.6
      Corporate Operations, excluding corporate
       interest expense                                  (.1)          (2.9)
          EBIT                                          78.1           64.8

    Corporate interest expense                         (15.2)         (19.1)
    Gain on extinguishment of debt                      21.2              -

        Income before net realized investment losses,
         taxes and discontinued operations              84.1           45.7

    Tax expense on period income                        35.4           18.5
    Income before net realized investment losses,
     valuation allowance for deferred tax assets
     and discontinued operations                        48.7           27.2
    Net realized investment losses (excluding the
     increase in unrealized losses on those
     investments transferred to an independent trust
     and net of related amortization and taxes and
     the establishment of a valuation allowance for
     deferred tax assets related to such losses)       (88.0) (5)     (23.8)

        Net income (loss) applicable to common stock
         before valuation allowance for deferred tax
         assets and discontinued operations            (39.3)           3.4

        Valuation allowance for deferred tax assets
         (excluding the establishment of a valuation
         allowance for realized investment losses and
         discontinued operations)                          -          (68.0)

        Discontinued operations                       (367.5)          (6.9)

        Net loss applicable to common stock          $(406.8)        $(71.5)

    Per diluted share:

      Net income before net realized investment
       losses, valuation allowance for deferred
       tax assets and discontinued operations           $.26           $.15

      Net realized investment losses, net of related
       amortization and taxes                           (.47)          (.13)

      Valuation allowance for deferred tax assets          -           (.37)

      Discontinued operations                          (1.99)          (.03)

      Net loss applicable to common stock             $(2.20)         $(.38)

In our Bankers Life segment, pre-tax operating earnings were $40.0 million in the fourth quarter of 2008, compared to $58.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2007. Results for the fourth quarter of 2008 were primarily affected by lower than expected margins from the PDP and PFFS business assumed through our quota-share agreements with Coventry, and to a lesser extent, the Medicare supplement block.

In our Colonial Penn segment, the pre-tax operating earnings were $6.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2008, compared to a pre-tax loss of $(.2) million in the fourth quarter of 2007. Results in this segment were negatively impacted by $8.4 million of expenses in the fourth quarter of 2007 related to the introduction of Medicare Advantage products.

In our Conseco Insurance Group segment, pre-tax operating earnings were $31.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2008, compared to $9.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2007. Significant factors affecting the segment's earnings in these periods included:

  • Improved earnings from our specified disease block resulting from a $12 million correction discovered through material control weakness remediation procedures and $5 million from improved margins.

  • During the fourth quarter of 2007, we recognized additional amortization expense of $14.8 million to reflect changes in our estimates of future mortality rates on our universal life business, net of planned increases to associated policyholder charges.

The Corporate Operations segment includes our investment advisory subsidiary and corporate expenses.

Net realized investment losses in the fourth quarter of 2008 of $88.0 million (net of related amortization and taxes and the establishment of a valuation allowance for deferred tax assets related to such losses) include $44.8 million of other-than-temporary impairment losses. Such net realized investment losses include a deferred tax valuation allowance of $30.9 million, as it is more likely than not that tax benefits related to investment losses recognized in the fourth quarter of 2008 will not be utilized to offset future taxable income.

Based on our evaluation of the recovery of deferred tax assets, we determined the need to increase the valuation allowance by $350.0 million in the fourth quarter of 2008, of which $319.1 million related to discontinued operations and $30.9 million related to tax benefits associated with investment losses that will not be utilized to offset future taxable income. We increased the deferred tax valuation allowance by $68 million in the fourth quarter of 2007.

In the fourth quarter of 2008, as previously announced, the Company completed the transfer of Senior Health to an independent trust. As a result of the transfer, the operating results of the long-term care business that was transferred as well as other transaction charges are classified as discontinued operations.

In 2008, significant improvements were made to the actuarial reporting internal control environment that remediated the material control weakness related to the Bankers Life segment and our former Other Business in Run-off segment. Although controls within the Conseco Insurance Group segment were also enhanced, additional system and actuarial process improvements are necessary before the material control weakness can be remediated.

Sales results

In addition to the sales of proprietary products, Bankers Life, through a partnership with Coventry, distributes Medicare PDP and PFFS plan through Bankers career agents.

At Bankers Life (career distribution), total NAP in 4Q08 was $72.8 million, up 25% over 4Q07 (total NAP, excluding PFFS, was $71.9 million, up 18 percent from 4Q07). For the year, Bankers' total NAP was up 4% from 2007 total of $294.4 million.

At Colonial Penn (direct distribution), total NAP was $10.9 million, up 16% over 4Q07 as we continue to benefit from our investment in marketing. For the year, total NAP rose 28% over 2007 total of $42.3 million.

At Conseco Insurance Group (independent distribution), total NAP was $17.9 million, down 9% from 4Q07. For the year, total NAP fell 9% from 2007 total of $78.8 million.

Conference Call

The company will host a conference call to discuss results at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Standard Time on March 2, 2009. The webcast can be accessed through the Investors section of the company's website as follows: http://investor.conseco.com. Listeners should go to the website at least 15 minutes before the event to register and download any necessary audio software. During the call, we will be referring to a presentation that will be available Monday morning through the investors section of the company's website.

About Conseco

Conseco, Inc.'s insurance companies help protect working American families and seniors from financial adversity: Medicare supplement, long-term care, cancer, heart/stroke and accident policies protect people against major unplanned expenses; annuities and life insurance products help people plan for their financial futures. For more information, visit Conseco's web site at www.conseco.com.

  1. Measured by new annualized premium, which includes 6% of annuity and 10% of single premium whole life deposits and 100% of all other premiums, PDP sales equal $200 per enrolled policy ($310 in 2007), PFFS sales equal $2,250 per enrolled policy ($2,100 in 2007).
  2. Management believes that an analysis of earnings or loss before net realized investment gains (losses), losses related to the transfer of Senior Health to an independent trust, corporate interest and taxes ("EBIT," a non-GAAP financial measure) provides a clearer comparison of the operating results of the company quarter-over-quarter because it excludes: (i) corporate interest expense; and (ii) net realized investment gains (losses) that are unrelated to the company's underlying fundamentals. A reconciliation of EBIT to Net Income applicable to common stock is provided in the tables on page 3 and 7.
  3. Management believes that an analysis of Net income (loss) applicable to common stock before net realized investment gains or losses, losses related to the transfer of Senior Health to an independent trust, net of related amortization and income taxes, ("Net Operating Income," a non-GAAP financial measure) is important to evaluate the financial performance of the company, and is a key measure commonly used in the life insurance industry. Management uses this measure to evaluate performance because realized investment gains or losses can be affected by events that are unrelated to the company's underlying fundamentals. A reconciliation of Net Operating Income to Net Income applicable to common stock is provided in the tables on page 3 and 7. Additional information concerning this non-GAAP measure is included in our periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission that are available in the "Investor - SEC Filings" section of Conseco's website, www.conseco.com.
  4. The calculation of this non-GAAP measure differs from the corresponding GAAP measure because accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) has been excluded from the value of capital used to determine this measure. Management believes this non-GAAP measure is useful because it removes the volatility that arises from changes in the unrealized appreciation (depreciation) of our investments. The corresponding GAAP measures for debt-to-total capital and book value per common share were 44.4% and $9.01, respectively, at December 31, 2008, and 22.0% and $22.94, respectively, at December 31, 2007.
  5. Such amount includes a deferred tax valuation allowance of $30.9 million as it is more likely than not that tax benefits related to investment losses recognized in the fourth quarter of 2008 will not be utilized to offset future taxable income.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements. Our statements, trend analyses and other information contained in these materials relative to markets for Conseco's products and trends in Conseco's operations or financial results, as well as other statements, contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements typically are identified by the use of terms such as "anticipate," "believe," "plan," "estimate," "expect," "project," "intend," "may," "will," "would," "contemplate," "possible," "attempt," "seek," "should," "could," "goal," "target," "on track," "comfortable with," "optimistic" and similar words, although some forward-looking statements are expressed differently. You should consider statements that contain these words carefully because they describe our expectations, plans, strategies and goals and our beliefs concerning future business conditions, our results of operations, financial position, and our business outlook or they state other ''forward-looking'' information based on currently available information. Assumptions and other important factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in our forward-looking statements include, among other things: (i) general economic, market and political conditions, including the performance and fluctuations of the financial markets which may affect our ability to raise capital or refinance our existing indebtedness and the cost of doing so; (ii) our ability to generate sufficient liquidity to meet our debt service obligations and other cash needs; (iii) our ability to obtain adequate and timely rate increases on our supplemental health products including our long-term care business; (iv) the receipt of required regulatory approvals for dividend and surplus debenture interest payments from our insurance subsidiaries; (v) mortality, morbidity, the increased cost and usage of health care services, persistency, the adequacy of our previous reserve estimates and other factors which may affect the profitability of our insurance products; (vi) changes in our assumptions related to the cost of policies produced or the value of policies inforce at the Effective Date; (vii) the recoverability of our deferred tax asset and the effect of potential tax rate changes on its value; (viii) changes in accounting principles and the interpretation thereof; (ix) our ability to achieve anticipated expense reductions and levels of operational efficiencies including improvements in claims adjudication and continued automation and rationalization of operating systems; (x) performance and valuation of our investments, including the impact of realized losses (including other-than-temporary impairment charges); (xi) our ability to identify products and markets in which we can compete effectively against competitors with greater market share, higher ratings, greater financial resources and stronger brand recognition; (xii) the ultimate outcome of lawsuits filed against us and other legal and regulatory proceedings to which we are subject; (xiii) our ability to remediate the material weakness in internal controls over the actuarial reporting process that we identified at year-end 2006 and to maintain effective controls over financial reporting; (xiv) our ability to continue to recruit and retain productive agents and distribution partners and customer response to new products, distribution channels and marketing initiatives; (xv) our ability to achieve eventual upgrades of the financial strength ratings of Conseco and our insurance company subsidiaries as well as the potential impact of rating downgrades on our business; (xvi) the risk factors or uncertainties listed from time to time in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission; (xvii) our ability to continue to satisfy the financial ratio and balance requirements and other covenants of our debt agreements; (xviii) regulatory changes or actions, including those relating to regulation of the financial affairs of our insurance companies, such as the payment of dividends to us, regulation of financial services affecting (among other things) bank sales and underwriting of insurance products, regulation of the sale, underwriting and pricing of products, and health care regulation affecting health insurance products; and (xix) changes in the Federal income tax laws and regulations which may affect or eliminate the relative tax advantages of some of our products. Other factors and assumptions not identified above are also relevant to the forward-looking statements, and if they prove incorrect, could also cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. All written or oral forward-looking statements attributable to us are expressly qualified in their entirety by the foregoing cautionary statement. Our forward-looking statements speak only as of the date made. We assume no obligation to update or to publicly announce the results of any revisions to any of the forward-looking statements to reflect actual results, future events or developments, changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting the forward-looking statements.

- Tables Follow -



    CONSECO, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
    PRELIMINARY OPERATING RESULTS

    Results by segment for the year ended were as follows ($ in millions):
                                                            Year Ended
                                                            December 31,
                                                        2008           2007
    EBIT (2), excluding costs related to a
     litigation settlement and loss related to a
     coinsurance transaction:
      Bankers Life                                    $171.5        $ 241.8
      Colonial Penn                                     25.2           18.1
      Conseco Insurance Group                          121.3           82.4
      Corporate Operations, excluding corporate
       interest expense                                (26.7)         (16.8)

          EBIT, excluding costs related to a
           litigation settlement and a loss related
           to an annuity coinsurance transaction       291.3          325.5

    Costs related to a litigation settlement               -          (64.4)
    Loss related to an annuity coinsurance transaction     -          (76.5)

        Total EBIT                                     291.3          184.6

     Corporate interest expense                        (59.2)         (72.3)
     Gain on extinguishment of debt                     21.2              -


          Income before net realized investment
           losses, taxes and discontinued operations   253.3          112.3

    Tax expense on period income                        96.9           38.8
    Income before net realized investment losses,
     valuation allowance for deferred tax assets
     and discontinued operations                       156.4           73.5

    Preferred stock dividends:
      5.50% Class B mandatorily convertible preferred
       stock                                               -          (14.1)

        Net income before net realized investment
         losses, valuation allowance for deferred tax
         assets and discontinued operations            156.4           59.4

    Net realized investment losses (excluding the
     increase in unrealized losses on those
     investments transferred to an independent trust
     and net of related amortization and taxes and
     the establishment of a valuation allowance for
     deferred tax assets related to such losses)      (217.4) (1)     (79.5)

    Net loss applicable to common stock before
     valuation allowance for deferred tax assets
     and discontinued operations                       (61.0)         (20.1)
    Valuation allowance for deferred tax assets
     (excluding the establishment of a valuation
     allowance for realized investment losses and
     discontinued operations)                         (298.0)         (68.0)
    Discontinued operations                           (722.7)        (105.9)

        Net loss applicable to common stock        $(1,081.7)       $(194.0)

    Per diluted share:
      Net income before net realized investment
       losses, valuation allowance for deferred
       tax assets and discontinued operations           $.85           $.34
      Net realized investment losses, net of
       related amortization and taxes                  (1.18)          (.46)
      Valuation allowance for deferred tax assets      (1.61)          (.39)
      Discontinued operations                          (3.92)          (.61)

    Net loss applicable to common stock               $(5.86)        $(1.12)

    (1) Such amount includes a deferred tax valuation allowance of
        $60.9 million as it is more likely than not that tax benefits related
        to investment losses recognized in the third and fourth quarters of
        2008 will not be utilized to offset future taxable income.



                          CONSECO, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
                                COLLECTED PREMIUMS
                               (Dollars in millions)
                                                   Three months ended
                                                       December 31,
                                                   2008           2007
    Bankers Life segment:
      Annuity                                    $411.2         $221.9
      Supplemental health                         502.0          420.4
      Life                                         55.7           50.7
      Total collected premiums                   $968.9         $693.0
    Conseco Insurance Group segment:
      Annuity                                     $23.7          $58.0
      Supplemental health                         158.6          156.5
      Life                                         63.2           68.8
      Total collected premiums                   $245.5         $283.3
    Colonial Penn segment:
      Life                                        $43.8          $31.7
      Supplemental health                           2.1            2.5
      Total collected premiums                   $ 45.9          $34.2



           BENEFIT RATIOS ON MAJOR SUPPLEMENTAL HEALTH LINES OF BUSINESS
                                                      Three Months Ended
                                                          December 31,
                                                      2008           2007

    Bankers Life segment:
    Medicare Supplement:
      Earned premium                              $160 million   $159 million
      Benefit ratio(a)                                   74.7%          67.6%
    PDP and PFFS:
      Earned premium                              $154 million    $90 million
      Benefit ratio(a)                                  100.8%          83.6%
    Long-Term Care:
      Earned premium                              $156 million   $156 million
      Benefit ratio(a)                                  102.2%         103.3%
      Interest-adjusted benefit ratio
       (a non-GAAP measure)(b)                           67.4%          71.2%
    Conseco Insurance Group (CIG) segment:
    Medicare Supplement:
      Earned premium                               $49 million    $55 million
      Benefit ratio(a)                                   62.8%          66.0%
    Specified Disease:
      Earned premium                               $94 million    $89 million
      Benefit ratio(a)                                   63.8%          80.6%
      Interest-adjusted benefit ratio
       (a non-GAAP measure)(b)                           30.1%          46.5%
    Long-Term Care:
      Earned premium                                $9 million    $10 million
      Benefit ratio(a)                                  216.9%         150.5%
      Interest-adjusted benefit ratio
       (a non-GAAP measure)(b)                          137.4%          89.3%

    (a) The benefit ratio is calculated by dividing the related product's
        insurance policy benefits by insurance policy income.
    (b) The interest-adjusted benefit ratio (a non-GAAP measure) is
        calculated by dividing the product's insurance policy benefits less
        interest income on the accumulated assets backing the insurance
        liabilities by insurance policy income.  Interest income is an
        important factor in measuring the performance of longer duration
        health products.  The net cash flows generally cause an accumulation
        of amounts in the early years of a policy (accounted for as reserve
        increases), which will be paid out as benefits in later policy years
        (accounted for as reserve decreases).  Accordingly, as the policies
        age, the benefit ratio will typically increase, but the increase in
        the change in reserve will be partially offset by interest income
        earned on the accumulated assets.  The interest-adjusted benefit
        ratio reflects the interest income offset.  Since interest income is
        an important factor in measuring the performance of these products,
        management believes a benefit ratio, which includes the effect of
        interest income, is useful in analyzing product performance.
        Additional information concerning this non-GAAP measure is included
        in our periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission
        that are available in the "Investor - SEC Filings" section of
        Conseco's website, www.conseco.com.

SOURCE: Conseco, Inc.

Web site: http://www.conseco.com/